Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 14:31
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FLYING MIGHTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with STAR OF GLORY second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite STAR OF GLORY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.35.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 2 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 9.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 7 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 13 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly V M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | EL VALIENTE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 5.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | PRIME STAR B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 9.9 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | SHANGHAI POWER Led early B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 42.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 52.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | FORTUNE MARBO B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 104.0 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BOYS PARTY L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EL VALIENTE | 30.6% | 3.27 | 10 |
| 2 | 2 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 12.0% | 8.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | STAR OF GLORY | 9.4% | 10.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | GRAND POWER | 8.1% | 12.42 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | FLYING MIGHTY | 7.0% | 14.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | OWNERS' STAR | 6.7% | 15.01 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | PRIME STAR | 5.6% | 17.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | RUN DES RUN | 4.9% | 20.38 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | SHANGHAI POWER | 4.4% | 22.58 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.1% | 32.19 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 2.7% | 36.90 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 2.4% | 41.63 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPERB DADDY | 2.1% | 46.93 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | FORTUNE MARBO | 1.0% | 98.03 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 59
PLACE
1 18.5
2 27
4 25
QUINELLA
1,4 169
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 63
1,4 77
2,4 98
FORECAST
4,1 363
TIERCE
4,1,2 1,940
TRIO
1,2,4 388
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 779
QUARTET
4,1,2,12 15,694
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/1,2,4 21,846
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26.5
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 61
6/4 371.5