Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.35.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY Closed strongly B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 2 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 9.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 7 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 13 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR Closed strongly V M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 22.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | EL VALIENTE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 5.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRIME STAR B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 9.9 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER Led early B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 42.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 52.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 104.0 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BOYS PARTY L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FLYING MIGHTY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with STAR OF GLORY second and GO GO SIXTEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.2 favourite STAR OF GLORY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 30.6% | 3.27 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 12.0% | 8.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 9.4% | 10.67 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 8.1% | 12.42 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY | 7.0% | 14.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 6.7% | 15.01 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | PRIME STAR | 5.6% | 17.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 4.9% | 20.38 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER | 4.4% | 22.58 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 3.1% | 32.19 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 2.7% | 36.90 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 2.4% | 41.63 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 2.1% | 46.93 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO | 1.0% | 98.03 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 59
PLACE
1 18.5
2 27
4 25
QUINELLA
1,4 169
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 63
1,4 77
2,4 98
FORECAST
4,1 363
TIERCE
4,1,2 1,940
TRIO
1,2,4 388
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 779
QUARTET
4,1,2,12 15,694
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/1,2,4 21,846
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 61
6/4 371.5