Sha Tin · 2022-07-10 · 17:13
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-07-10 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. JOLLY RULER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with SUPER WIN DRAGON second and SPONTANEOUS third. The 6.7 favourite CALL ME TEDDY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JOLLY RULER 1.08.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.7 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 12 | 6.9 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 9.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | MAN STAR V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 40.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | CALL ME TEDDY TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 10 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ELON E/P J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 7.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCKY FUN M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 11 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 13.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 14.9% | 6.71 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 11.7% | 8.52 | 12 |
| 3 | 11 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 11.6% | 8.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER AXIOM | 11.2% | 8.90 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | CALL ME TEDDY | 8.8% | 11.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | ELON | 8.7% | 11.46 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 6.2% | 16.24 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 5.6% | 17.94 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | LUCKY FUN | 5.0% | 20.11 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | JOLLY RULER | 4.0% | 24.93 | 1 |
| 12 | 5 | MAN STAR | 2.0% | 49.80 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 87
PLACE
10 34.5
11 27
12 33
QUINELLA
10,11 471
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 165.5
10,12 192
11,12 112.5
FORECAST
10,11 987
TIERCE
10,11,12 6,145
TRIO
10,11,12 1,546
FIRST 4
5,10,11,12 8,789
QUARTET
10,11,12,5 167,062
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27.5
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
9/10 185.5
9/11 104.5