沙田 · 2022-09-25 · 17:18
第 9場
2022-09-25沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的TUCHEL勝出，贏出1-1/4。CAPTAIN WIN獲得亞軍；HORSESAIN BOLT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TUCHEL 後段發力 1.21.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN 後段發力 V/XB2 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 13 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | ICE LEGEND 後段發力 BO/H/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 2 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT 後段發力 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 7 | 17.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON 後段發力 TT L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 1 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP 早段領放 SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | A PAL 後段發力 CP1/TT1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | INFINITE POWER CP A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 10 | 73.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLDEN EMPIRE R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 8 | 9.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE XB/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 13 | 38.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 17.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 14 | 59.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TUCHEL | 26.9% | 3.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | ICE LEGEND | 14.9% | 6.69 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 8.2% | 12.12 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN LINK | 7.2% | 13.80 | 13 |
| 5 | 10 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 7.1% | 13.99 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 6.4% | 15.73 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | CAPTAIN WIN | 5.2% | 19.05 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | NEVER TOO SOON | 5.0% | 20.20 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 4.3% | 23.31 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 3.9% | 25.51 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | A PAL | 3.8% | 26.02 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 2.9% | 34.46 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT | 2.4% | 41.33 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | INFINITE POWER | 1.5% | 64.72 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 21
PLACE
2 41
8 13
13 40
QUINELLA
2,8 191
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 74.5
2,13 326
8,13 71
FORECAST
8,2 228
TIERCE
8,2,13 2,797
TRIO
2,8,13 696
FIRST 4
2,8,13,14 2,805
QUARTET
8,2,13,14 31,461
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17
8TH DOUBLE
1/2 768
1/8 951