沙田 · 2022-09-25 · 17:53
第 10場
2022-09-25沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的FANTASTIC TREASURE勝出，贏出1/2。IMA SINGLE MAN獲得亞軍；FANTASTIC WAY獲得季軍。5.3倍大熱門IMA SINGLE MAN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE CP1/TT 1.08.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN CP-/H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | FANTASTIC WAY V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | NAVAS TWO CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 2 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WINNER METHOD TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | EASON B1/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | BE READY V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | NAVAS TWO | 14.4% | 6.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 11.2% | 8.92 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 11.0% | 9.09 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | BE READY | 9.7% | 10.30 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO | 9.4% | 10.63 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 8.4% | 11.93 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | EASON | 8.0% | 12.43 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | FANTASTIC WAY | 6.5% | 15.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNER METHOD | 6.4% | 15.75 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 5.4% | 18.56 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART | 4.8% | 20.77 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR | 4.8% | 20.95 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 80
PLACE
2 26
3 45.5
5 20
QUINELLA
2,5 201.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 146
2,5 73.5
3,5 151.5
FORECAST
2,5 357
TIERCE
2,5,3 3,228
TRIO
2,3,5 702
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 627
QUARTET
2,5,3,8 14,306
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 36
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,13/2,3,5 75,064
9TH DOUBLE
8/2 109
8/5 15.5
SIX UP
1,10/4,12/1,11/1,8/2,8/2,5 3,107,804
8 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/8/2 5,472
1/8/5 1,543