Sha Tin · 2022-09-25 · 17:53
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-25 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FANTASTIC TREASURE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with IMA SINGLE MAN second and FANTASTIC WAY third. The 5.3 favourite IMA SINGLE MAN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE CP1/TT 1.08.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN CP-/H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 9 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | FANTASTIC WAY V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | NAVAS TWO CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 2 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WINNER METHOD TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | EASON B1/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 7 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER B/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | BE READY V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | NAVAS TWO | 14.4% | 6.95 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | REWARDING TOGETHER | 11.2% | 8.92 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 11.0% | 9.09 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | BE READY | 9.7% | 10.30 | 12 |
| 5 | 1 | HANDSOME BO BO | 9.4% | 10.63 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 8.4% | 11.93 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | EASON | 8.0% | 12.43 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | FANTASTIC WAY | 6.5% | 15.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNER METHOD | 6.4% | 15.75 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 5.4% | 18.56 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | ROCK YA HEART | 4.8% | 20.77 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | MAJESTIC STAR | 4.8% | 20.95 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 80
PLACE
2 26
3 45.5
5 20
QUINELLA
2,5 201.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 146
2,5 73.5
3,5 151.5
FORECAST
2,5 357
TIERCE
2,5,3 3,228
TRIO
2,3,5 702
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 627
QUARTET
2,5,3,8 14,306
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 36
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,13/2,3,5 75,064
9TH DOUBLE
8/2 109
8/5 15.5
SIX UP
1,10/4,12/1,11/1,8/2,8/2,5 3,107,804
8 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/8/2 5,472
1/8/5 1,543