Sha Tin · 2022-09-25 · 13:32
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR Wire to wire B/TT 1.39.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 1 | 4.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 6 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR CP-/B2 C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY B- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly H/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 11 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT SR/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 14 | 35.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 7.7 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 23.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | BARON ZEE B-/PC1/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 5 | 36.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 93.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 13 | 19.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | BUDDY SPIRIT B A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 31.0 | 18-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-25 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. LUCKY VICTOR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with RUN DES RUN second and RUN RUN GOOD third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 17.5% | 5.70 | 9 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 11.8% | 8.50 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 11.5% | 8.68 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY GEM | 10.5% | 9.51 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 9.1% | 10.96 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 7.1% | 14.09 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 6.5% | 15.39 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 5.8% | 17.11 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 4.7% | 21.36 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 4.6% | 21.81 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 3.7% | 26.76 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 2.5% | 39.56 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | JUBILATION | 2.5% | 40.21 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE | 2.1% | 48.24 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 48.5
PLACE
4 19
7 21
8 32
QUINELLA
4,7 130.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 60
4,8 99.5
7,8 99.5
FORECAST
4,7 219
TIERCE
4,7,8 1,344
TRIO
4,7,8 377
FIRST 4
4,7,8,12 347
QUARTET
4,7,8,12 5,961
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/4 137.5
2/7 38
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 30