Sha Tin · 2022-09-25 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 5 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · T P Yung | S De Sousa | T P Yung | 4 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE B-/XB M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 2 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TOYCOON B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 32.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 9 | 19.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | OUR CREED Led early V Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 3 | 6.9 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | REACH GOAL B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 22.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by K C Leung and trained by L Ho, won by 3/4, with YES WE CAN second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OUR CREED | 30.8% | 3.25 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 15.5% | 6.45 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 12.9% | 7.74 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WOODFIRE BRO | 12.3% | 8.13 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 9.4% | 10.63 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | TOYCOON | 7.1% | 14.07 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 6.5% | 15.28 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 3.5% | 28.88 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 2.0% | 49.97 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 35
PLACE
2 15.5
5 13
9 21
QUINELLA
2,9 121.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 25
2,9 47.5
5,9 40
FORECAST
2,9 252
TIERCE
2,9,5 618
TRIO
2,5,9 107
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 127
QUARTET
2,9,5,1 2,480
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 23