Sha Tin · 2022-09-25 · 15:03
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-25 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STAR CONTACT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with HAPPY DAILY second and ALL IS GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite STUNNING IMPACT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 12 | 15.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 10 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 7 | ALL IS GOOD Closed strongly L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 2 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT Closed strongly B S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 1 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 6.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | FIRE BALL Led early A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ROYAL CAMPBELL V/TT2 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | JACK WIN B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | QUORUM B/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 6 | 56.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GREAT BRILLIANT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 142.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SEATOSKY H- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 104.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KARUIZAWA A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 2 | THE HULK Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | HAPPY LAND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 17.1% | 5.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | STAR CONTACT | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT | 16.4% | 6.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | ALL IS GOOD | 13.5% | 7.38 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 10.0% | 10.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 9.0% | 11.12 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | FIRE BALL | 6.3% | 15.88 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER | 3.6% | 28.16 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | JACK WIN | 3.0% | 32.97 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | QUORUM | 1.8% | 56.35 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | SEATOSKY | 1.7% | 59.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 133.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 159.5
PLACE
1 19
7 28.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
1,10 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 86
1,10 125
7,10 193.5
FORECAST
10,1 1,010
TIERCE
10,1,7 7,303
TRIO
1,7,10 1,207
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 524
QUARTET
10,1,7,6 19,877
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21.5
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 175.5
6/10 1,983.5