Sha Tin · 2022-09-25 · 16:17
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-09-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOOD BUDDY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Hall, won by 3/4, with KING OF THE COURT second and UNIVERSAL HORIZON third. The 1.7 favourite YOUTHFUL DEAL finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOOD BUDDY 1.09.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 11 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | KING OF THE COURT CP-/TT- S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 6.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING H K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY B-/TT1 H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 2 | 148.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | JOYFUL CHAMPION TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 46.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | YOUTHFUL DEAL TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 1.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ROYAL PRIDE V/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | NOBLE ACE H1/P1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | FORTUNE TURBO B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 170.0 | 16-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 25.0% | 3.99 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 20.6% | 4.85 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | KING OF THE COURT | 9.4% | 10.63 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | BRAVE DREAMS | 9.1% | 10.99 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 8.2% | 12.14 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD BUDDY | 7.1% | 14.12 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | ROYAL PRIDE | 6.6% | 15.16 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | NOBLE ACE | 5.7% | 17.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 3.3% | 29.86 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.2% | 30.99 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 0.9% | 112.50 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | FORTUNE TURBO | 0.7% | 134.63 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 168
PLACE
1 34
4 19.5
11 17
QUINELLA
1,11 384.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 112
1,11 101
4,11 55.5
FORECAST
1,11 1,054
TIERCE
1,11,4 5,699
TRIO
1,4,11 566
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 1,982
QUARTET
1,11,4,2 57,460
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,12/1,4,11 598,400
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 48.5
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 5,105
4/11 514