沙田 · 2022-09-25 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-09-25沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、D A Hayes訓練的STAR CONTACT勝出，贏出N。HAPPY DAILY獲得亞軍；ALL IS GOOD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門STUNNING IMPACT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STAR CONTACT 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 12 | 15.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 10 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 7 | ALL IS GOOD 後段發力 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 2 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 1 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 6.6 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | FIRE BALL 早段領放 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER 後段發力 CP H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ROYAL CAMPBELL V/TT2 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | JACK WIN B/H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | QUORUM B/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 6 | 56.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GREAT BRILLIANT H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 142.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SEATOSKY H- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 104.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KARUIZAWA A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 2 | THE HULK Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | HAPPY LAND C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAPPY DAILY | 17.1% | 5.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | STAR CONTACT | 16.8% | 5.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT | 16.4% | 6.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | ALL IS GOOD | 13.5% | 7.38 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 10.0% | 10.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 9.0% | 11.12 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | FIRE BALL | 6.3% | 15.88 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | GENERAL WINNER | 3.6% | 28.16 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | JACK WIN | 3.0% | 32.97 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | QUORUM | 1.8% | 56.35 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | SEATOSKY | 1.7% | 59.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 133.60 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 159.5
PLACE
1 19
7 28.5
10 37.5
QUINELLA
1,10 416.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 86
1,10 125
7,10 193.5
FORECAST
10,1 1,010
TIERCE
10,1,7 7,303
TRIO
1,7,10 1,207
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 524
QUARTET
10,1,7,6 19,877
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 21.5
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 175.5
6/10 1,983.5