沙田 · 2022-09-25 · 16:48
第 8場
2022-09-25沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的LOOKING GREAT勝出，贏出N。ENTRUSTED獲得亞軍；POWERFUL WINGS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門POWERFUL WINGS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LOOKING GREAT 後段發力 CP/TT 1.34.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 33.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 42.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | LOOKING COOL PC Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 13 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | HIT THE SHOT 後段發力 TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ENCOUNTERED TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | TOTAL POWER B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 1 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | WINNING DRAGON 早段領放 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NORDIC SKY SR/XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 9 | 68.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | BOOM ALLIANCE 後段發力 SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 48.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | SECRET VISION TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 6.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | MOONLIGHT VISTA 後段發力 TT1 H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 194.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 14 | ODE TO JOY B/H1/XB1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | PEGASUS GENERAL V K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 3 | 25.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | POWERFUL WINGS | 26.9% | 3.71 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | LOOKING COOL | 16.7% | 5.99 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | ENCOUNTERED | 13.0% | 7.71 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | SECRET VISION | 7.6% | 13.21 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | LOOKING GREAT | 6.0% | 16.77 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | TOTAL POWER | 5.8% | 17.38 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | HIT THE SHOT | 4.5% | 22.00 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 4.4% | 22.48 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | ENTRUSTED | 4.0% | 24.74 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | NORDIC SKY | 4.0% | 25.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 14 | ODE TO JOY | 2.3% | 44.02 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 2.2% | 44.89 | 10 |
| 13 | 6 | WINNING DRAGON | 2.0% | 50.19 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 0.6% | 159.50 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 334.5
PLACE
1 74.5
3 15.5
8 91.5
QUINELLA
1,8 2,249
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 191
1,8 541
3,8 218.5
FORECAST
1,8 4,559
TIERCE
1,8,3 23,738
TRIO
1,3,8 2,729
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 2,372
QUARTET
1,8,3,9 76,324
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 43
7TH DOUBLE
1/1 3,702
1/8 880