沙田 · 2022-09-25 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-09-25沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、P F Yiu訓練的JOYFUL WIN勝出，贏出N。FLYING DRAGON獲得亞軍；SUMMIT CHEERS獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門SUMMIT CHEERS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN B 0.56.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 32.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | FLYING DRAGON C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 22.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 14 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | SOLAR WINDS H/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 5 | 36.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | ADIOS V M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 7.2 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 62.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FLYING SEASON B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 10 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 55.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 12 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | PING HAI BRAVO TT C L Chau · J Size | C L Chau | J Size | 13 | 35.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | SMOKEY BEAR H/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | SUPER KING SR/CP1/TT L Currie · D J Whyte | L Currie | D J Whyte | 8 | 98.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 17.2% | 5.82 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 16.0% | 6.24 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | ADIOS | 16.0% | 6.25 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING SEASON | 9.6% | 10.45 | 8 |
| 5 | 13 | SUPER AXIOM | 7.6% | 13.21 | 13 |
| 6 | 14 | KA YING SPIRIT | 6.8% | 14.60 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | FLYING DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.91 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | CLASSIC POSH | 4.5% | 22.21 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | JOYFUL WIN | 4.5% | 22.34 | 1 |
| 10 | 2 | PING HAI BRAVO | 3.9% | 25.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | LUCKY QUALITY | 3.3% | 30.28 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | SOLAR WINDS | 2.7% | 37.00 | 4 |
| 13 | 7 | SMOKEY BEAR | 2.0% | 49.93 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | SUPER KING | 1.4% | 73.49 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 323
PLACE
4 64
9 16.5
12 53
QUINELLA
4,12 3,160
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 184
4,12 819
9,12 154.5
FORECAST
4,12 7,360
TIERCE
4,12,9 48,777
TRIO
4,9,12 3,337
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 23,242
QUARTET
4,12,9,8 846,292
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 37
5TH DOUBLE
10/4 4,284
10/12 558.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,6/1,7,10/4,9,12 6,783,400
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,6/1,7,10/Any Combination 6,285