沙田 · 2022-10-09 · 15:37
第 6場
2022-10-09沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的HANDSOME TWELVE勝出，贏出1/2。CHANCHENG PRINCE獲得亞軍；SUPER DYNAMITE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HANDSOME TWELVE 後段發力 1.38.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE 後段發力 XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 4 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER DYNAMITE 後段發力 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT 後段發力 H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 10 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 8 | 7.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | AMAZING TEENS 後段發力 H/P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 12 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 8.5 | 8-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | RED MAJESTY 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 13 | 82.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | PEGASUS GENERAL V M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 7 | 62.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | TRUE LEGEND B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 7.3 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | INFINITE POWER 早段領放 CP A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 1 | 34.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | WORLD FAMOUS B L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 68.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 104.0 | 23-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 18.2% | 5.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | TRUE LEGEND | 17.3% | 5.76 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | BLOTTING PAPER | 15.2% | 6.59 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 9.9% | 10.10 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | AMAZING TEENS | 8.3% | 12.09 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | WORLD FAMOUS | 5.4% | 18.63 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 4.8% | 20.71 | 4 |
| 9 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 4.3% | 23.44 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 3.5% | 28.47 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | RED MAJESTY | 2.5% | 39.32 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | INFINITE POWER | 1.7% | 58.93 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 1.4% | 73.77 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 25.5
PLACE
1 25
2 51
9 13
QUINELLA
1,9 96
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 181.5
1,9 41.5
2,9 102
FORECAST
9,1 141
TIERCE
9,1,2 2,105
TRIO
1,2,9 574
FIRST 4
1,2,3,9 1,007
QUARTET
9,1,2,3 13,138
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 58.5
5/9 82
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,11,12/3,5,14/Any Combination 86,675