沙田 · 2022-10-09 · 15:03
第 5場
2022-10-09沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY ETERNAL勝出，贏出2。REGENCY BO BO獲得亞軍；E BROTHER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL 1.09.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 14 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | E BROTHER B/TT R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | 11 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PRIME MORTAR CP1/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 1 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | MASTER OF LUCK H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | MARVEL DRAGON V1/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 2 | 9.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN XB M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | PROUD DRAGON B K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 9.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | WAR WEAPON H/P/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 7 | 6.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SPARTAN MISSILE B1/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO SR/H1 L Currie · D J Whyte | L Currie | D J Whyte | 10 | 42.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 7 | GOLDEN FAIRY XB/B1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 13 | 144.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | KING OF THE COURT S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.2 | 15 |
| 14 | 12 | FORTUNE TURBO B/TT- H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 8 | 128.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 21.6% | 4.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | KING OF THE COURT | 10.6% | 9.46 | 13 |
| 3 | 1 | PROUD DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | WAR WEAPON | 8.1% | 12.33 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | PRIME MORTAR | 7.8% | 12.75 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT RETURN | 7.6% | 13.16 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO | 6.5% | 15.41 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | SPARTAN MISSILE | 6.3% | 15.76 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | MARVEL DRAGON | 5.9% | 16.96 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | E BROTHER | 5.7% | 17.44 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 5.0% | 19.99 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | MASTER OF LUCK | 4.2% | 23.91 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 0.8% | 120.94 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | FORTUNE TURBO | 0.6% | 158.07 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 29.5
PLACE
3 58.5
5 15
14 66.5
QUINELLA
3,5 401
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 128
3,14 627
5,14 127.5
FORECAST
5,3 716
TIERCE
5,3,14 8,359
TRIO
3,5,14 2,149
FIRST 4
3,5,8,14 11,447
QUARTET
5,3,14,8 145,796
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 19
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 215.5
11/5 117