沙田 · 2022-10-09 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-10-09沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、C S Shum訓練的PACKING VICTORY勝出，贏出SH。SAUVESTRE獲得亞軍；THE GOLDEN SCENERY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門GALAXY WITNESS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PACKING VICTORY 後段發力 TT 1.21.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 9 | 14.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | SAUVESTRE 早段領放 TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 13 | 35.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 17.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | KEEFY S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 14 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | THE IRISHMAN H/XB1/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 1 | 3.4 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | APACHE PASS BO/XB C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 7 | 61.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | GALAXY WITNESS 後段發力 M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 3 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | C P BRAVE 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 10 | 74.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | SPIRITED EXPRESS B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | BEAUTY FIT 後段發力 B/E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 4 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT CP/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 12 | 101.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | NAVAS TWO CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 11 | 9.1 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | SILVER EXPRESS B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 50.0 | 19-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KEEFY | 19.5% | 5.12 | 4 |
| 2 | 14 | GALAXY WITNESS | 14.8% | 6.76 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | THE IRISHMAN | 12.5% | 7.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | SAUVESTRE | 9.6% | 10.45 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | NAVAS TWO | 8.5% | 11.72 | 13 |
| 6 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 8.0% | 12.51 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 4.8% | 20.90 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | BEAUTY FIT | 4.8% | 20.91 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | APACHE PASS | 3.8% | 26.56 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 3.7% | 26.95 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | C P BRAVE | 3.5% | 28.84 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | PACKING VICTORY | 2.6% | 38.81 | 1 |
| 13 | 1 | SILVER EXPRESS | 2.3% | 43.57 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT | 1.7% | 60.44 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 146
PLACE
2 37.5
6 36
8 63
QUINELLA
6,8 1,301.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 238
2,8 457
6,8 355
FORECAST
6,8 2,024
TIERCE
6,8,2 22,398
TRIO
2,6,8 4,460
FIRST 4
2,6,7,8 4,890
QUARTET
6,8,2,7 135,879
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 41.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,13/2,6,8 254,273
9TH DOUBLE
13/6 623
13/8 270
SIX UP
3,5/1,9/3,13/3,9/2,13/6,8 27,307
5/9/13/9/13/6 240,480
1 [T P Yung] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
9/13/6 1,966
9/13/8 1,110