沙田 · 2022-10-09 · 16:38
第 8場
2022-10-09沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的MAN STAR勝出，贏出3/4。MAXIMUS獲得亞軍；CZARSON獲得季軍。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAN STAR V 1.08.79 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | MAXIMUS SR/XB1 S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CZARSON B/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | RED DESERT B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS B V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 8 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | BRILLIANT LIFE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | LIKE THAT V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 9.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY FUN V1/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 3 | 9.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 6 | 21.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 33.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAN STAR | 17.1% | 5.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MAXIMUS | 12.3% | 8.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | CZARSON | 10.3% | 9.69 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | LIKE THAT | 9.2% | 10.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY FUN | 8.5% | 11.74 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | SUNNY BOY | 7.4% | 13.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 7.1% | 14.09 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.0% | 16.67 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS | 5.8% | 17.18 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | RED DESERT | 4.7% | 21.43 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 2.3% | 42.58 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 37.5
PLACE
3 38.5
4 16.5
9 16.5
QUINELLA
3,9 272
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 111.5
3,9 110
4,9 36.5
FORECAST
9,3 526
TIERCE
9,3,4 2,142
TRIO
3,4,9 412
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 553
QUARTET
9,3,4,7 11,569
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 25.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
13/3 223
13/9 603.5