Sha Tin · 2022-10-09 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-09 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. MAN STAR, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by 3/4, with MAXIMUS second and CZARSON third. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAN STAR V 1.08.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | MAXIMUS SR/XB1 S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CZARSON B/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 7 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | RED DESERT B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS B V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 8 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | BRILLIANT LIFE M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | LIKE THAT V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 10 | 9.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCKY FUN V1/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 3 | 9.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SUNNY BOY B/TT C L Chau · W Y So | C L Chau | W Y So | 6 | 21.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 12 | 33.0 | 19-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MAN STAR | 17.1% | 5.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MAXIMUS | 12.3% | 8.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | CZARSON | 10.3% | 9.69 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | ATOMIC FORCE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | LIKE THAT | 9.2% | 10.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY FUN | 8.5% | 11.74 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | SUNNY BOY | 7.4% | 13.45 | 11 |
| 8 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 7.1% | 14.09 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 6.0% | 16.67 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS | 5.8% | 17.18 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | RED DESERT | 4.7% | 21.43 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 2.3% | 42.58 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 37.5
PLACE
3 38.5
4 16.5
9 16.5
QUINELLA
3,9 272
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 111.5
3,9 110
4,9 36.5
FORECAST
9,3 526
TIERCE
9,3,4 2,142
TRIO
3,4,9 412
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 553
QUARTET
9,3,4,7 11,569
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 25.5
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
13/3 223
13/9 603.5