Sha Tin · 2022-10-09 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-09 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FIRE BALL, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with WIDE BLUE YONDER second and SUPER RED DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite ALL IS GOOD finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FIRE BALL Closed strongly 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly CP/TT1 S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 8 | 9.7 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | ALL IS GOOD Led early B1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 5 | 3.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | LET'S DO IT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 6 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM H/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 3.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | LESLIE B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 61.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | HK DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SO YOU TRUST TT1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | RED IMPACT B-/V1/XB1/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 10 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | STAND UP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 37.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ALL IS GOOD | 22.7% | 4.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 11.1% | 9.04 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 9.7% | 10.33 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | SPARKY STAR | 7.4% | 13.46 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | LET'S DO IT | 7.2% | 13.80 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | LESLIE | 6.8% | 14.77 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 6.1% | 16.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | HK DRAGON | 5.6% | 17.95 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | FIRE BALL | 5.4% | 18.52 | 1 |
| 10 | 12 | RED IMPACT | 5.0% | 19.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.4% | 22.61 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | SO YOU TRUST | 4.3% | 23.27 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | STAND UP | 4.3% | 23.44 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 109.5
PLACE
3 26
7 26
13 31
QUINELLA
3,13 494.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 115.5
3,13 148.5
7,13 136.5
FORECAST
13,3 1,075
TIERCE
13,3,7 8,873
TRIO
3,7,13 1,208
FIRST 4
3,7,10,13 890
QUARTET
13,3,7,10 32,492
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/3,7,13 79,397
3 PICK 1
A3 26.5
A1 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/3 34.5
9/13 427