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Sha Tin · 2022-10-09 · 15:37

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly 1.38.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung 5 2.5 1/2
2 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE Closed strongly XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui 4 7.0 1/2
3 0 SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu 6 20.0 3-3/4
4 0 LIGHTNING BOLT Closed strongly H Bentley · C S Shum 10 12.0 3-3/4
5 0 BLOTTING PAPER TT S De Sousa · R Gibson 8 7.3 5-1/2
6 0 AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size 12 13.0 6-1/2
7 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 2 8.5 8-1/4
8 0 RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 13 82.0 9-1/4
9 0 PEGASUS GENERAL V M Chadwick · K H Ting 7 62.0 11-1/2
10 0 TRUE LEGEND B Y L Chung · F C Lor 3 7.3 12-1/2
11 0 INFINITE POWER Led early CP A Hamelin · P C Ng 1 34.0 14-1/4
12 0 WORLD FAMOUS B L Hewitson · P F Yiu 9 68.0 20-1/4
13 0 CLASSIC ARCHI B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 11 104.0 23-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-09 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HANDSOME TWELVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with CHANCHENG PRINCE second and SUPER DYNAMITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HANDSOME TWELVE—2. CHANCHENG PRINCE+0.5L3. SUPER DYNAMITE+3.75L4. LIGHTNING BOLT+3.75L5. BLOTTING PAPER+5.5L6. AMAZING TEENS+6.5L7. HELENE WISDOM STAR+8.25L8. RED MAJESTY+9.25L9. PEGASUS GENERAL+11.5L10. TRUE LEGEND+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HANDSOME TWELVE (18.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HANDSOME TWELVE 18.2% 5.51 1
2 0 TRUE LEGEND 17.3% 5.76 10
3 0 BLOTTING PAPER 15.2% 6.59 5
4 0 HELENE WISDOM STAR 9.9% 10.10 7
5 0 AMAZING TEENS 8.3% 12.09 6
6 0 SUPER DYNAMITE 7.6% 13.20 3
7 0 WORLD FAMOUS 5.4% 18.63 12
8 0 LIGHTNING BOLT 4.8% 20.71 4
9 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 4.3% 23.44 2
10 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 3.5% 28.47 9
11 0 RED MAJESTY 2.5% 39.32 8
12 0 INFINITE POWER 1.7% 58.93 11
13 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 1.4% 73.77 13
HANDSOME TWELVE — wonTRUE LEGENDBLOTTING PAPERHELENE WISDOM STARAMAZING TEENSSUPER DYNAMITEWORLD FAMOUSLIGHTNING BOLTCHANCHENG PRINCEPEGASUS GENERALRED MAJESTYINFINITE POWERCLASSIC ARCHI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 25.5

PLACE

1 25

2 51

9 13

QUINELLA

1,9 96

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 181.5

1,9 41.5

2,9 102

FORECAST

9,1 141

TIERCE

9,1,2 2,105

TRIO

1,2,9 574

FIRST 4

1,2,3,9 1,007

QUARTET

9,1,2,3 13,138

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 19.5

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

5/1 58.5

5/9 82

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,11,12/3,5,14/Any Combination 86,675