Sha Tin · 2022-10-09 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 2.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 7 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly B2/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | CASA LEGEND CP-/B1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 3.5 | 8-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE Closed strongly H M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 9 | 15.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON Closed strongly PC1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | OUR CREED V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 33.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 48.0 | 20-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VICTORY PARK B/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 4 | 33.0 | 21 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIRON Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 25-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-10-09 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. YES WE CAN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 4-1/2, with RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE second and GREEN LASER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 31.6% | 3.16 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 10.8% | 9.24 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | KING TOURBILLON | 9.7% | 10.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | OUR CREED | 9.6% | 10.44 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | RUN THE TABLE | 9.5% | 10.53 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | CASA LEGEND | 7.5% | 13.37 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | VICTORY PARK | 7.3% | 13.71 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIRON | 6.9% | 14.50 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 5.1% | 19.70 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING | 2.0% | 49.97 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 24
PLACE
4 16
5 41.5
7 12
QUINELLA
4,7 65
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 119.5
4,7 27
5,7 67
FORECAST
7,4 104
TIERCE
7,4,5 1,314
TRIO
4,5,7 292
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 157
QUARTET
7,4,5,9 2,925
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —