跑馬地 · 2022-10-12 · 19:16
第 2場
2022-10-12跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Wong策騎、J Richards訓練的HANDSOME REBEL勝出，贏出3。HAPPY FAT CAT獲得亞軍；RAGING BLAZE獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門DAY DAY RICH跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT 0.57.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 10 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT P-/PC1 H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 39.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 6.3 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | DIAMOND SOARS H/TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 2.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | PRINCE OF BON BON K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 8 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 2 | 7.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SUPER KINGDOM B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 9 | 57.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | THIS IS GUTS H/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 12 | 98.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ALLOY KING CP A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 5 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DAY DAY RICH | 28.5% | 3.51 | 6 |
| 2 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE | 15.2% | 6.57 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 13.4% | 7.49 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | DIAMOND SOARS | 12.6% | 7.93 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | GOODMANSHIP | 8.1% | 12.29 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 5.9% | 17.03 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | HANDSOME REBEL | 4.5% | 22.10 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | ALLOY KING | 4.4% | 22.52 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER KINGDOM | 1.9% | 51.41 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 1.9% | 53.46 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | THIS IS GUTS | 1.8% | 54.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 1.7% | 58.87 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 89.5
PLACE
3 91
9 27.5
12 19.5
QUINELLA
3,9 1,295
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 425
3,12 315
9,12 89
FORECAST
9,3 2,648
TIERCE
9,3,12 16,080
TRIO
3,9,12 3,651
FIRST 4
3,5,9,12 4,496
QUARTET
9,3,12,5 139,005
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/3 525.5
9/9 1,681.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 30.5