跑馬地 · 2022-10-12 · 21:16
第 6場
2022-10-12跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的JUMBO LEGEND勝出，贏出3。BIRDSVILLE獲得亞軍；TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得季軍。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUMBO LEGEND H/TT 1.09.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | BIRDSVILLE SR/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | BLUSTITCH B1/TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 12 | 109.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | EXUBERANT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 6.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 5.3 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 11 | 56.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SHINING FORTUNE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 10 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | EASY LIFE CP-/B1/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 31.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | M M NEBULA B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 2 | 4.7 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY CP R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 8 | 53.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | M M NEBULA | 15.9% | 6.27 | 11 |
| 2 | 5 | JUMBO LEGEND | 14.6% | 6.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | EXUBERANT | 13.4% | 7.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | SHINING FORTUNE | 10.8% | 9.25 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | WOOD ON FIRE | 10.4% | 9.61 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | OUR CLASS ACT | 9.2% | 10.87 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | BIRDSVILLE | 6.3% | 15.76 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 6.1% | 16.28 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | BLUSTITCH | 5.2% | 19.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 2.9% | 34.78 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 2.8% | 36.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | EASY LIFE | 2.3% | 43.23 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 44
PLACE
5 18
11 34.5
12 29.5
QUINELLA
5,12 279.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,11 91
5,12 83.5
11,12 187.5
FORECAST
5,12 515
TIERCE
5,12,11 4,055
TRIO
5,11,12 746
FIRST 4
5,7,11,12 12,560
QUARTET
5,12,11,7 146,762
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 20.5
A3 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
11/5 287
11/12 140.5