跑馬地 · 2022-10-12 · 22:18
第 8場
2022-10-12跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的KUNGFUMASTER PANDA勝出，贏出1-3/4。OWNERS' STAR獲得亞軍；CHATER PINS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門CIRCUIT ELITE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 後段發力 B/TT 1.49.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | OWNERS' STAR 後段發力 B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | PALACE PAL 後段發力 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SMILING TIME 後段發力 V/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT 後段發力 CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | RED ELYSEES 早段領放 B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 12 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | TAILOR MADE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 9.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SEATOSKY K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 72.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | SURREALISM B L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 5 | 43.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 13.9% | 7.18 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | OWNERS' STAR | 12.2% | 8.18 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | TAILOR MADE | 11.2% | 8.95 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | PASSING FASHION | 8.5% | 11.77 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | PALACE PAL | 7.8% | 12.81 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | SURREALISM | 7.7% | 13.03 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | CHATER PINS | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | KOWLOON GREAT | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | SMILING TIME | 6.3% | 15.76 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | RED ELYSEES | 3.5% | 28.86 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | SEATOSKY | 1.2% | 81.39 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 51
PLACE
5 19
10 29.5
11 46.5
QUINELLA
5,11 451
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 103
5,11 129.5
10,11 281
FORECAST
5,11 928
TIERCE
5,11,10 8,148
TRIO
5,10,11 1,522
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 4,143
QUARTET
5,11,10,2 74,114
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 68.5
4/11 64.5