Happy Valley · 2022-10-12 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 3 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 6 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 11 | 7.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 3.1 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Led early B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 12 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | TAILOR MADE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 9.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SEATOSKY K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 72.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PASSING FASHION XB/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 7 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SURREALISM B L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 5 | 43.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-12 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-3/4, with OWNERS' STAR second and CHATER PINS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CIRCUIT ELITE finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 13.9% | 7.18 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 12.2% | 8.18 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 11.2% | 8.95 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | PASSING FASHION | 8.5% | 11.77 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | PALACE PAL | 7.8% | 12.81 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SURREALISM | 7.7% | 13.03 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | CHATER PINS | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 6.3% | 15.76 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 3.5% | 28.86 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SEATOSKY | 1.2% | 81.39 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 51
PLACE
5 19
10 29.5
11 46.5
QUINELLA
5,11 451
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 103
5,11 129.5
10,11 281
FORECAST
5,11 928
TIERCE
5,11,10 8,148
TRIO
5,10,11 1,522
FIRST 4
2,5,10,11 4,143
QUARTET
5,11,10,2 74,114
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/5 68.5
4/11 64.5