Happy Valley · 2022-10-12 · 20:46
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/TT1 1.41.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 7 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 4 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 8 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly B2 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | OH BRAVO TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LOTUS FAVORITES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 12 | 8.5 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING FACE SR/TT L Currie · D J Whyte | L Currie | D J Whyte | 1 | 6.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER V/H2/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 39.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HANDSOME VEGGIE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.6 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BOOMING WELL Led early A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-12 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LONDON LUCKYSTAR, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with GRAND POWER second and REGENCY MASTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite HANDSOME VEGGIE finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 26.6% | 3.75 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 16.9% | 5.91 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 8.6% | 11.69 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | LOTUS FAVORITES | 8.1% | 12.34 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 7.8% | 12.87 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 7.3% | 13.77 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 6.5% | 15.33 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 5.5% | 18.34 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.7% | 26.74 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | BOOMING WELL | 3.6% | 27.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 3.1% | 32.07 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 2.3% | 42.65 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 50
PLACE
4 37
6 45
11 22
QUINELLA
6,11 383.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 264
4,11 124
6,11 135.5
FORECAST
11,6 797
TIERCE
11,6,4 6,969
TRIO
4,6,11 1,257
FIRST 4
4,5,6,11 8,293
QUARTET
11,6,4,5 108,768
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/4,6,11 65,648
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/6 179.5
2/11 722