Happy Valley · 2022-10-12 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT 1.40.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 1.7 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.4 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | NOTHING NEW H/P/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | ENSURED Closed strongly S De Sousa · D J Hall | S De Sousa | D J Hall | 8 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC Led early TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BULLETPROOF V V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 2 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PRAGMATISM R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 6 | 67.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | KEEN UNITY B1 A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 4 | 12.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-12 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. COMET SPLENDIDO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with MAJESTIC VICTORY second and NOTHING NEW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 29.7% | 3.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 13.9% | 7.22 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC | 12.9% | 7.77 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | KEEN UNITY | 10.0% | 9.97 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 9.4% | 10.59 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 6.1% | 16.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | ENSURED | 5.3% | 19.01 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 5.1% | 19.61 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 4.6% | 21.95 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | PRAGMATISM | 3.0% | 32.88 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 17
PLACE
1 34.5
4 12.5
6 18
QUINELLA
4,6 56
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 47
1,6 132.5
4,6 24
FORECAST
4,6 79
TIERCE
4,6,1 631
TRIO
1,4,6 185
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 379
QUARTET
4,6,1,10 3,294
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,11,12/1,4,6 33,921
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/4 87
5/6 33.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,11/5,11,12/Any Combination 141,648