跑馬地 · 2022-10-19 · 21:47
第 6場
2022-10-19跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、F C Lor訓練的EXCELLENT PEERS勝出，贏出3/4。ATULLIBIGEAL獲得亞軍；H Z TOURBILLON獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB 1.09.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 2.6 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL H/XB L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 9 | 36.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | DECISIVE TWELVE P-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 11 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SPONTANEOUS B V Borges · P C Ng | V Borges | P C Ng | 12 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | IGNITING B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | STORMTROUPER E/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | POWER KOEPP E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | DRAGON DELIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 111.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 10 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | STARFIRE GEMS XB1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 4 | 6.7 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 18.8% | 5.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | STARFIRE GEMS | 12.7% | 7.90 | 12 |
| 3 | 3 | IGNITING | 12.5% | 8.02 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | POWER KOEPP | 9.9% | 10.07 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | STORMTROUPER | 9.5% | 10.54 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY GLORY | 8.9% | 11.22 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | H Z TOURBILLON | 7.2% | 13.82 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 5.5% | 18.06 | 2 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER DOBBIN | 4.8% | 20.62 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 4.5% | 22.47 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | SPONTANEOUS | 2.9% | 34.22 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 2.7% | 36.38 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 26
PLACE
4 86.5
6 12.5
12 22
QUINELLA
4,6 795
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 230.5
4,12 428.5
6,12 37.5
FORECAST
6,4 921
TIERCE
6,4,12 6,634
TRIO
4,6,12 1,434
FIRST 4
4,5,6,12 3,922
QUARTET
6,4,12,5 71,920
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,11/4,6,12 1,049,290
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/4 402
2/6 156.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,8,12/2,7,11/Any Combination 121,346