跑馬地 · 2022-10-19 · 22:52
第 8場
2022-10-19跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的GALLANT WAKING勝出，贏出1/2。YO BEAUTY獲得亞軍；OUR LUCKY GLORY獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門FLYING ACE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GALLANT WAKING XB 1.09.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 8.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 6 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | FLYING ACE B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | DECRYPT TT A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 3 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | DROPS OF GOD B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | COPARTNER FIONN H1/P1 M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 10 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | MASTER TORNADO K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 52.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE H1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 49.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TELECOM SPIRIT B1 V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 1 | 64.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | WINE AND WINE B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 5 | 34.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING ACE | 23.7% | 4.22 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | DROPS OF GOD | 14.2% | 7.05 | 7 |
| 3 | 9 | GALLANT WAKING | 13.0% | 7.69 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | YO BEAUTY | 10.4% | 9.63 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | SMART IDEA | 9.4% | 10.63 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 9.2% | 10.85 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | DECRYPT | 8.8% | 11.39 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | COPARTNER FIONN | 3.0% | 33.74 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | MASTER TORNADO | 2.4% | 41.85 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | TELECOM SPIRIT | 2.2% | 45.07 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | WINE AND WINE | 2.1% | 48.01 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPER EAGLE | 1.7% | 60.14 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 40.5
PLACE
5 37
6 25
9 16
QUINELLA
5,9 288
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 182
5,9 94
6,9 62.5
FORECAST
9,5 559
TIERCE
9,5,6 3,525
TRIO
5,6,9 725
FIRST 4
3,5,6,9 1,077
QUARTET
9,5,6,3 16,466
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,10/5,6,9 96,376
7TH DOUBLE
5/5 398
5/9 1,040.5
SIX UP
2,9/5,12/2,7/4,6/3,5/5,9 14,163
9/12/2/6/5/9 795,328
2 [K W Lui] —
3 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
6/5/5 2,075
6/5/9 4,464