跑馬地 · 2022-10-19 · 20:16
第 3場
2022-10-19跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的GOLD GOLD BABY勝出，贏出SH。SERGEANT PEPPER獲得亞軍；PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT 0.56.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.9 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 2 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | SEE U AGAIN B1/TT2 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 5.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 7 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 6 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 3 | 45.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | FLAMING EAGLE H-/PC1/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN H-/V/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 74.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SEE U AGAIN | 26.1% | 3.83 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | PRETTY QUEEN PRAWN | 13.9% | 7.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 13.1% | 7.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 11.7% | 8.55 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 9.9% | 10.12 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 7.5% | 13.33 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | SUPER COMMANDER | 7.1% | 14.06 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | TELECOM MISSILE | 6.5% | 15.39 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | FLAMING EAGLE | 2.7% | 36.42 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 1.4% | 72.74 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 25
PLACE
2 16.5
5 17.5
9 13.5
QUINELLA
2,9 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 51
2,9 34.5
5,9 32.5
FORECAST
9,2 118
TIERCE
9,2,5 411
TRIO
2,5,9 132
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 375
QUARTET
9,2,5,7 4,022
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 27.5
2/9 81.5
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A2 —
A3 —