跑馬地 · 2022-10-19 · 20:47
第 4場
2022-10-19跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Hall訓練的MELBOURNE HALL勝出，贏出1-1/4。HERO STAR獲得亞軍；SUCCESS FIGHTER獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門HERO STAR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 7 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | HERO STAR TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 5 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SUCCESS FIGHTER B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 6 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO CP-/H/B1 L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 4 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 8 | 49.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | REGENT GLORY L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 7.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 9.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | WIN WIN CHARITY XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 59.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | ABOVE ALL H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 17.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | PERFECT ROCK B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 83.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 24.7% | 4.05 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | HERO STAR | 19.6% | 5.09 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | REGENT GLORY | 10.4% | 9.61 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | SUCCESS FIGHTER | 9.4% | 10.69 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | ISLAND SHINE | 7.2% | 13.94 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | ABOVE ALL | 7.1% | 14.00 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 7.1% | 14.12 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY SOUL | 6.0% | 16.78 | 9 |
| 9 | 12 | MELBOURNE HALL | 5.1% | 19.62 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 1.4% | 72.17 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 1.1% | 88.68 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | PERFECT ROCK | 1.0% | 103.96 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 185.5
PLACE
5 13.5
8 35.5
12 41
QUINELLA
5,12 237.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 63
5,12 98.5
8,12 267.5
FORECAST
12,5 734
TIERCE
12,5,8 6,882
TRIO
5,8,12 745
FIRST 4
5,6,8,12 1,199
QUARTET
12,5,8,6 37,812
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,9/5,8,12 17,006
3 PICK 1
A3 30
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/5 13
9/12 403