跑馬地 · 2022-10-19 · 19:16
第 1場
2022-10-19跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、W Y So訓練的LEGION OF MERIT勝出，贏出1-1/4。MORE THAN ENOUGH獲得亞軍；PERFECT TO GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門RAINBOW LIGHT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LEGION OF MERIT 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH 早段領放 B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 SR/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | RAINBOW LIGHT B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | DARCI JOY B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | SMOOTHIES 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY MISSILE 後段發力 CP L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | CHARIZARD 後段發力 B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 10 | 6.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | EVER LAUGH 後段發力 B-/V1/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 6 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 9 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GREAT BRILLIANT B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 70.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 12 | 18.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ON EXCEL STAR | 24.1% | 4.14 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 12.9% | 7.73 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | LEGION OF MERIT | 12.7% | 7.88 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | DARCI JOY | 8.7% | 11.56 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | CHARIZARD | 7.8% | 12.74 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 7.3% | 13.79 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 6.6% | 15.19 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY MISSILE | 5.9% | 17.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | SMOOTHIES | 5.1% | 19.68 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 4.7% | 21.50 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | EVER LAUGH | 3.5% | 28.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 133.49 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 191
PLACE
3 33
11 55
12 31.5
QUINELLA
3,11 1,089
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 331.5
3,12 203.5
11,12 275.5
FORECAST
11,3 2,429
TIERCE
11,3,12 23,045
TRIO
3,11,12 3,193
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 2,963
QUARTET
11,3,12,4 96,500
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —