Happy Valley · 2022-10-19 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 2 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DARCI JOY B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 10 | 6.8 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B-/V1/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 6 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 9 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 4 | 70.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 12 | 18.0 | 12-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LEGION OF MERIT, ridden by A Badel and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with MORE THAN ENOUGH second and PERFECT TO GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite RAINBOW LIGHT finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR | 24.1% | 4.14 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 12.9% | 7.73 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 12.7% | 7.88 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | DARCI JOY | 8.7% | 11.56 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 7.8% | 12.74 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 7.3% | 13.79 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 6.6% | 15.19 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 5.9% | 17.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 5.1% | 19.68 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 4.7% | 21.50 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 3.5% | 28.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | GREAT BRILLIANT | 0.7% | 133.49 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 191
PLACE
3 33
11 55
12 31.5
QUINELLA
3,11 1,089
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 331.5
3,12 203.5
11,12 275.5
FORECAST
11,3 2,429
TIERCE
11,3,12 23,045
TRIO
3,11,12 3,193
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 2,963
QUARTET
11,3,12,4 96,500
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —