Happy Valley · 2022-10-19 · 21:17
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE Closed strongly B-/E/TT 1.40.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MY INTELLIGENT Led early V-/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CONCERTO Closed strongly B-/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 9 | 87.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE B/H R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 10 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FREE FOAL V C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 3 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS H-/B/TT H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | 11 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly B-/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 12 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HORNET CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 9.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 6 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. EXCEPTIONAL NICE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/2, with MY INTELLIGENT second and CONCERTO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite AMIGOS GIGGLE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 31.5% | 3.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 11.5% | 8.68 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | MY INTELLIGENT | 10.9% | 9.17 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 10.4% | 9.63 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 8.9% | 11.22 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 8.4% | 11.96 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 6.6% | 15.14 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.6% | 27.96 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | REACH GOAL | 3.1% | 31.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 2.4% | 41.63 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 1.6% | 61.11 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | CONCERTO | 1.1% | 92.83 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 51.5
PLACE
2 18
7 36.5
11 182.5
QUINELLA
2,7 304.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 100
2,11 615.5
7,11 988
FORECAST
2,7 823
TIERCE
2,7,11 25,759
TRIO
2,7,11 6,155
FIRST 4
2,7,9,11 3,134
QUARTET
2,7,11,9 116,378
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23.5
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
12/2 1,059
12/7 341