Happy Valley · 2022-10-19 · 22:18
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-10-19 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AMAZING ONE PLUS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by NOSE, with RISING FROM ASHES second and STORM LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite STORM LEGEND finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly XB/TT 1.39.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 14.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly CP/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 10.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 10 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 10 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 4 | 26.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER MISSION H/TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | LOYAL BABY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | BEAUTY CHAMP Led early SR-/XB-/H/P1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB/B1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 8.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | THE ANOMALY V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | MASTER DELIGHT B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 25.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STORM LEGEND | 20.6% | 4.86 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER MISSION | 14.4% | 6.96 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 11.0% | 9.10 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | MALDIVES | 9.3% | 10.81 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES | 8.3% | 12.06 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | THE ANOMALY | 6.2% | 16.05 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | MASTER DELIGHT | 6.1% | 16.35 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | LOYAL BABY | 6.1% | 16.49 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 5.4% | 18.52 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 5.2% | 19.33 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | KING'S CAPITAL | 4.6% | 21.70 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | WINNING DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.87 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 144
PLACE
3 38.5
5 33
10 14
QUINELLA
3,5 840.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 260.5
3,10 89
5,10 63.5
FORECAST
5,3 1,627
TIERCE
5,3,10 9,401
TRIO
3,5,10 843
FIRST 4
3,5,6,10 1,566
QUARTET
5,3,10,6 49,365
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 25
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/3 30.5
6/5 394