沙田 · 2022-11-12 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-11-12沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由S De Sousa策騎、P C Ng訓練的STUNNING IMPACT勝出，贏出1-1/4。SWEET ENCOUNTER獲得亞軍；VOYAGE BUBBLE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門SWEET ENCOUNTER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | STUNNING IMPACT 後段發力 B 1.21.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 4 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | SWEET ENCOUNTER 後段發力 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | VOYAGE BUBBLE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | SETANTA 後段發力 B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 59.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | ALL BEAUTY 後段發力 CP C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 9.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | SWORD POINT 後段發力 CP1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY DAILY TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 2 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | PARTERRE H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 10 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | COPARTNER FIONN P-/H/PC1 M F Poon · J Richards | M F Poon | J Richards | 3 | 54.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER KING 早段領放 CP-/SR-/B1/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 130.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY TOGETHER 後段發力 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 9 | 82.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 1 | 140.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT J McNeil · T P Yung | J McNeil | T P Yung | 12 | 75.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 19.1% | 5.24 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SWORD POINT | 12.9% | 7.72 | 6 |
| 3 | 13 | STUNNING IMPACT | 12.1% | 8.24 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 11.0% | 9.06 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY DAILY | 10.5% | 9.51 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 10.4% | 9.58 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | ALL BEAUTY | 6.5% | 15.35 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | PARTERRE | 5.8% | 17.38 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | SETANTA | 3.9% | 25.94 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 2.8% | 35.94 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | COPARTNER FIONN | 2.1% | 48.29 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 1.6% | 63.14 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | SUPER KING | 0.7% | 145.64 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 0.6% | 166.56 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 68.5
PLACE
4 24
12 12.5
13 24.5
QUINELLA
12,13 98
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 44
4,13 80.5
12,13 41
FORECAST
13,12 333
TIERCE
13,12,4 1,442
TRIO
4,12,13 199
FIRST 4
3,4,12,13 1,683
QUARTET
13,12,4,3 36,744
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,12/4,12,13 96,319
9TH DOUBLE
9/12 30.5
9/13 551
SIX UP
8,13/4,14/5,8/6,12/9,12/12,13 11,506
13/4/8/6/9/13 2,738,361
1 [Z Purton] —
12 [C S Shum] —
TREBLE
6/9/12 213
6/9/13 2,673