沙田 · 2022-11-12 · 15:04
第 5場
2022-11-12沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的KA YING SPIRIT勝出，贏出N。PLEASANT ENDEAVOR獲得亞軍；GOLDEN WARSTEED獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門WONDERFUL UNICORN跑獲第14名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT 0.56.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 16.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | GOLDEN WARSTEED XB/B1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 7 | 140.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 11 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SPARKLING KNIGHT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING DRAGON Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 13 | 4.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR B K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 4 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | LIKE THAT V M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 33.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | ARIEL M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 64.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | JAZZ CLUB B1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 1 | 72.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | MR MAJESTIC H- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 14 | 17.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 26.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 12 | WONDERFUL UNICORN TT1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 3.1 | 20-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WONDERFUL UNICORN | 15.9% | 6.28 | 14 |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING DRAGON | 14.1% | 7.11 | 6 |
| 3 | 13 | KA YING SPIRIT | 9.9% | 10.10 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 9.9% | 10.11 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | PINS PRINCE | 8.8% | 11.35 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | METRO WARRIOR | 8.4% | 11.87 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 7.8% | 12.83 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | LIKE THAT | 5.5% | 18.26 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 5.3% | 18.84 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 4.8% | 21.04 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | MR MAJESTIC | 4.4% | 22.78 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | ARIEL | 2.4% | 41.86 | 10 |
| 13 | 7 | JAZZ CLUB | 1.7% | 58.45 | 11 |
| 14 | 6 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 1.2% | 86.57 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 167.5
PLACE
6 291.5
8 34
13 45.5
QUINELLA
8,13 733.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 1,847.5
6,13 2,762
8,13 232
FORECAST
13,8 1,918
TIERCE
13,8,6 110,468
TRIO
6,8,13 24,269
FIRST 4
2,6,8,13 60,321
QUARTET
13,8,6,2 1,456,327
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 21
4TH DOUBLE
6/8 45.5
6/13 634