沙田 · 2022-11-12 · 13:01
第 1場
2022-11-12沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUPERB CAPITALIST勝出，贏出4-1/2。GLORY BO BO獲得亞軍；MULTISUPER獲得季軍。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT1 1.08.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 1.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 14 | GLORY BO BO B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 9.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | MULTISUPER XB1 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.1 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAU GOSSE CP1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 154.0 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER FAST DRAGON L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 7 | 20.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 88.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | HAPPY WON V-/B1/TT- Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | DEVIL AND GOLD TT1 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 5 | 85.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | DASHING TRIUMPH TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 48.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | JOYFUL CHAMPION CP1/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 29.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CRAIG'S MASTER C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 13 | 169.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | NOBLE ACE P-/H/B1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 76.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | YOUNG SPARKLE S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | SEIZE THE DREAM B1 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 127.0 | 18-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HAPPY WON | 20.3% | 4.93 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 15.9% | 6.28 | 13 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 11.5% | 8.66 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | GLORY BO BO | 6.4% | 15.60 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 6.3% | 15.93 | 11 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAU GOSSE | 5.7% | 17.56 | 4 |
| 7 | 1 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 5.3% | 18.94 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | SEIZE THE DREAM | 5.1% | 19.59 | 14 |
| 9 | 6 | MULTISUPER | 4.9% | 20.36 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 4.5% | 22.43 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.7% | 26.77 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | NOBLE ACE | 3.7% | 27.27 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 3.7% | 27.32 | 5 |
| 14 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY | 3.1% | 32.68 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 14.5
PLACE
6 20.5
10 11.5
14 21.5
QUINELLA
10,14 53.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 27
6,14 68
10,14 26.5
FORECAST
10,14 105
TIERCE
10,14,6 271
TRIO
6,10,14 76
FIRST 4
3,6,10,14 1,682
QUARTET
10,14,6,3 12,318
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13