Sha Tin · 2022-11-12 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | GLORY BO BO B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 9.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MULTISUPER XB1 L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 9.1 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE CP1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 154.0 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER FAST DRAGON L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 7 | 20.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 88.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY WON V-/B1/TT- Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 17.0 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD TT1 R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 5 | 85.0 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | DASHING TRIUMPH TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 48.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION CP1/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 29.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CRAIG'S MASTER C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 13 | 169.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE ACE P-/H/B1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 76.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 11.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SEIZE THE DREAM B1 M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 127.0 | 18-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | 1.4 | 4-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GLORY BO BO, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won by 4-1/2, with MULTISUPER second and BEAU GOSSE third. The 1.4 favourite SUPERB CAPITALIST did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY WON | 20.3% | 4.93 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 15.9% | 6.28 | 13 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 11.5% | 8.66 | — |
| 4 | 0 | GLORY BO BO | 6.4% | 15.60 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 6.3% | 15.93 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE | 5.7% | 17.56 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 5.3% | 18.94 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SEIZE THE DREAM | 5.1% | 19.59 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | MULTISUPER | 4.9% | 20.36 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 4.5% | 22.43 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.7% | 26.77 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | NOBLE ACE | 3.7% | 27.27 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 3.7% | 27.32 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY | 3.1% | 32.68 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 14.5
PLACE
6 20.5
10 11.5
14 21.5
QUINELLA
10,14 53.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 27
6,14 68
10,14 26.5
FORECAST
10,14 105
TIERCE
10,14,6 271
TRIO
6,10,14 76
FIRST 4
3,6,10,14 1,682
QUARTET
10,14,6,3 12,318
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13