Sha Tin · 2022-11-12 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB 1.38.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 1 | 2.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCK STAR Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 3 | 18.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 9.9 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 9 | 123.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | LADY FIRST Closed strongly CP/XB/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 20.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 13 | 38.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 5 | 17.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 6 | 20.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 14 | 75.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-12 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by C W Chang, won by 2, with SUN OF MAKFI second and BOOM ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 19.9% | 5.04 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | INFINITE POWER | 9.4% | 10.69 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 9.1% | 11.01 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 7.3% | 13.78 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | LUCK STAR | 6.9% | 14.59 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 6.0% | 16.55 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY RUBY | 5.6% | 17.98 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 5.4% | 18.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | BOOM ALLIANCE | 5.3% | 18.97 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME | 4.4% | 22.96 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 4.3% | 23.03 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 3.5% | 28.73 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 1.4% | 72.84 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 22
PLACE
2 84
5 18
6 12
QUINELLA
5,6 68.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 284.5
2,6 198.5
5,6 30.5
FORECAST
6,5 108
TIERCE
6,5,2 2,265
TRIO
2,5,6 628
FIRST 4
2,5,6,12 1,145
QUARTET
6,5,2,12 16,995
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,10/2,5,6 27,916
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
5/5 53.5
5/6 186.5