Sha Tin · 2022-11-12 · 16:38
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND Wire to wire B 1.36.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 3 | 5.1 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT J McNeil · T P Yung | J McNeil | T P Yung | 10 | 5.8 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER Closed strongly TT H T Mo · K L Man | H T Mo | K L Man | 9 | 8.2 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.6 | 10-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | STOICISM B/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 2 | 28.0 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET XB-/H1/PC1 H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 24.0 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 5.7 | 11-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAR SLAM Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 12 | 20.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LOYAL BABY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 22.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | MAXIMUS Closed strongly SR/XB S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 11 | 12.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 4 | 27.0 | 23-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-12 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TRUE LEGEND, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by F C Lor, won by 5, with YES WE CAN second and ENCOUNTERED third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 5.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 15.2% | 6.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 14.6% | 6.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 11.0% | 9.06 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | MAXIMUS | 10.8% | 9.26 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 10.4% | 9.60 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 9.8% | 10.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 6.2% | 16.14 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 6.2% | 16.17 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | STOICISM | 5.2% | 19.37 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 4.8% | 20.67 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 3.9% | 25.38 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 1.8% | 54.35 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 51.5
PLACE
5 35
6 19.5
12 22.5
QUINELLA
6,12 203
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 102
5,12 167
6,12 75
FORECAST
6,12 414
TIERCE
6,12,5 4,739
TRIO
5,6,12 804
FIRST 4
5,6,7,12 892
QUARTET
6,12,5,7 21,613
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 20.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/6 303.5
8/12 38