Sha Tin · 2022-11-12 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MARADO Closed strongly B 1.21.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CASA LEGEND B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY Closed strongly B- S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 7 | 7.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ADEFILL CP-/B1 J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 11 | 44.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING INNOVATOR Closed strongly XB/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 10 | 62.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 49.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | SUPER HORNET CP-/B2/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 14 | 32.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM Led early H-/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 16.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PERFECT PEACH Closed strongly B/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | — | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MARADO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1/2, with CASA LEGEND second and SPEED FAY FAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite CASA LEGEND finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MARADO | 20.8% | 4.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PERFECT PEACH | 10.5% | 9.52 | — |
| 3 | 0 | SPEED FAY FAY | 10.1% | 9.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 8.3% | 12.05 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | ADEFILL | 6.7% | 15.00 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CASA LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.55 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 6.3% | 15.98 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR | 5.5% | 18.27 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 5.4% | 18.51 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK | 5.3% | 18.82 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING INNOVATOR | 4.9% | 20.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 4.3% | 23.20 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO | 3.1% | 32.35 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 2.5% | 40.56 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 49.5
PLACE
4 17.5
6 27.5
14 18.5
QUINELLA
4,14 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 76
4,14 43.5
6,14 67.5
FORECAST
4,14 211
TIERCE
4,14,6 1,281
TRIO
4,6,14 291
FIRST 4
2,4,6,14 578
QUARTET
4,14,6,2 9,753
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 23
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
13/4 1,312
13/14 154
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,6/6,8,13/Any Combination 624,043