Sha Tin · 2022-11-12 · 13:31
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT 2.02.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 6 | 3.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 5 | 6.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | OH BRAVO Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BOYS PARTY L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BARON ZEE TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 1 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly CP/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 12 | 40.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY Led early B S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 2 | 5.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION B/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 8.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 11 | 31.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL B/H/XB H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 8 | 22.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | RUN DES RUN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 20.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER B/H/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 76.0 | 19-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-12 was Class 5 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPERB DADDY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2-3/4, with SKY GEM second and OH BRAVO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 18.9% | 5.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 15.6% | 6.43 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 10.6% | 9.46 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 9.0% | 11.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | RUN DES RUN | 7.8% | 12.89 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM | 7.5% | 13.41 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BOYS PARTY | 7.1% | 14.12 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 5.0% | 20.14 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 4.8% | 20.87 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 3.8% | 26.05 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 3.8% | 26.54 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 2.6% | 38.05 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 2.0% | 49.38 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 1.7% | 60.16 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 36.5
PLACE
6 15
8 24
14 74
QUINELLA
6,8 171.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 50.5
6,14 155.5
8,14 288.5
FORECAST
6,8 249
TIERCE
6,8,14 6,347
TRIO
6,8,14 1,437
FIRST 4
6,8,11,14 3,610
QUARTET
6,8,14,11 54,719
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/6 52
10/8 23
3 PICK 1
A1 23.5
A2 —
A3 —