Sha Tin · 2022-11-12 · 16:05
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA Closed strongly H 1.21.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 4.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.7 | N |
| 4 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.2 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly CP/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING METHOD TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 52.0 | 6-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-12 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BELUGA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with BLAZE WARRIOR second and CIRCUIT STELLAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite CIRCUIT STELLAR finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA | 40.8% | 2.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 16.5% | 6.04 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 10.1% | 9.94 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 8.5% | 11.71 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 7.1% | 14.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 5.6% | 18.01 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING METHOD | 4.7% | 21.20 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 4.4% | 22.93 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SILVER EXPRESS | 2.2% | 44.65 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 41.5
PLACE
5 37.5
8 13.5
9 14
QUINELLA
5,8 290
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 95.5
5,9 75
8,9 28.5
FORECAST
8,5 517
TIERCE
8,5,9 2,123
TRIO
5,8,9 249
FIRST 4
3,5,8,9 294
QUARTET
8,5,9,3 9,231
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,14/5,8,9 9,953
3 PICK 1
A1 22
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/5 150.5
4/8 187.5