Sha Tin · 2022-11-12 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | PULSAR STRIDER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 57.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENCHANTING IBIS S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 7 | 2.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR ASCENSION XB L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY EIGHT CP1 R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FAULDS PC-/XB/B1/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 11 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 100.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 70.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 8 | 64.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | SUMMIT CHEERS CP-/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 50.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | REVE PARISIEN M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 13 | 15.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT H A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | — | 5.4 | N |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-11-12 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CALIFORNIA VANES, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with READY TO WIN second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The 2.8 favourite ENCHANTING IBIS finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 22.8% | 4.39 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | ENCHANTING IBIS | 17.5% | 5.71 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY EIGHT | 13.0% | 7.70 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 11.0% | 9.08 | — |
| 5 | 0 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 5.8% | 17.38 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 5.6% | 17.91 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | FAULDS | 4.0% | 24.89 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | REVE PARISIEN | 3.9% | 25.43 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | STAR ASCENSION | 3.6% | 27.60 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | PARTY WARRIOR | 3.6% | 28.04 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | READY TO WIN | 3.4% | 29.76 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | PULSAR STRIDER | 2.7% | 36.71 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.1% | 48.05 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 1.1% | 93.66 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 54.5
PLACE
7 52
9 20
12 33
QUINELLA
9,12 374.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 174.5
7,12 368.5
9,12 112
FORECAST
9,12 605
TIERCE
9,12,7 9,449
TRIO
7,9,12 2,012
FIRST 4
2,7,9,12 1,967
QUARTET
9,12,7,2 52,700
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27.5
8TH DOUBLE
6/9 405
6/12 263.5