沙田 · 2022-11-12 · 17:13
第 9場
2022-11-12沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、C H Yip訓練的PHOENIX LIGHT勝出，贏出N。CALIFORNIA VANES獲得亞軍；READY TO WIN獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門ENCHANTING IBIS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT H 1.08.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 5.4 | N |
| 2 | 12 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | PULSAR STRIDER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 14 | 57.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | ENCHANTING IBIS S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 7 | 2.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | STAR ASCENSION XB L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT CP1 R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | FAULDS PC-/XB/B1/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 11 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | LUCKY QUALITY M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 3 | 100.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | PARTY WARRIOR H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 70.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · D A Hayes | K H Chan | D A Hayes | 8 | 64.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | SUMMIT CHEERS CP-/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 50.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | REVE PARISIEN M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 13 | 15.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 22.8% | 4.39 | 4 |
| 2 | 13 | ENCHANTING IBIS | 17.5% | 5.71 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT | 13.0% | 7.70 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 11.0% | 9.08 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 5.8% | 17.38 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 5.6% | 17.91 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | FAULDS | 4.0% | 24.89 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | REVE PARISIEN | 3.9% | 25.43 | 14 |
| 9 | 10 | STAR ASCENSION | 3.6% | 27.60 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | PARTY WARRIOR | 3.6% | 28.04 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | READY TO WIN | 3.4% | 29.76 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | PULSAR STRIDER | 2.7% | 36.71 | 5 |
| 13 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.1% | 48.05 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | LUCKY QUALITY | 1.1% | 93.66 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 54.5
PLACE
7 52
9 20
12 33
QUINELLA
9,12 374.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 174.5
7,12 368.5
9,12 112
FORECAST
9,12 605
TIERCE
9,12,7 9,449
TRIO
7,9,12 2,012
FIRST 4
2,7,9,12 1,967
QUARTET
9,12,7,2 52,700
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 27.5
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/9 405
6/12 263.5