沙田 · 2022-11-20 · 15:11
第 5場
2022-11-20沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J McDonald策騎、C S Shum訓練的VICTOR THE WINNER勝出，贏出1/2。GOLDEN EXPRESS獲得亞軍；SCIENCE PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT 1.08.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 2 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | GOLDEN EXPRESS Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | SCIENCE PATCH V A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | TEXAS MOON P-/B2 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 88.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | SAKEWIN CP M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 40.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SCOTCH TYCOON H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT TEN TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | STARFIRE GEMS XB/TT1 J McNeil · J Richards | J McNeil | J Richards | 3 | 81.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | TRAVEL GOLF SR1 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 11 | 213.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | ROMAN TURBO B H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | LORD THUNDER XB/TT B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 13 | 7.8 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 12 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | ULTRA EXPRESS B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 164.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 28.6% | 3.50 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 16.0% | 6.26 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | LORD THUNDER | 15.9% | 6.27 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | SCIENCE PATCH | 9.5% | 10.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | GOLDEN EXPRESS | 7.8% | 12.81 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | CIRCUIT TEN | 7.6% | 13.14 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | SAKEWIN | 4.5% | 22.16 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 3.0% | 33.12 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | ROMAN TURBO | 2.1% | 47.13 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | STARFIRE GEMS | 1.7% | 60.11 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 1.5% | 65.31 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | TRAVEL GOLF | 0.9% | 111.86 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | TEXAS MOON | 0.8% | 121.68 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 23
PLACE
6 28
8 12
9 12
QUINELLA
8,9 33
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 52
6,9 44.5
8,9 17
FORECAST
9,8 74
TIERCE
9,8,6 291
TRIO
6,8,9 88
FIRST 4
6,7,8,9 956
QUARTET
9,8,6,7 7,059
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 12.5
4TH DOUBLE
7/8 15.5
7/9 100