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沙田 · 2022-11-20 · 15:41

第 6場

Group 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m 跑道 B+2 13 匹出賽

賽果

名次 No. 馬名 檔位 獨贏賠率 馬距
2 0 LUCKY PATCH V-/H/B2/TT1 C L Chau · P C Ng 2 31.0 N
3 0 DUKE WAI B-/H/V1 H Bentley · P C Ng 9 69.0 1-1/4
4 0 SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size 10 81.0 1-3/4
5 0 CORDYCEPS SIX B S De Sousa · R Gibson 8 8.8 1-3/4
6 0 WELLINGTON XB A Badel · R Gibson 7 1.9 2-1/4
7 0 STRONGER SR/XB/CP2 C Y Ho · D J Whyte 1 23.0 4
8 0 SKY FIELD TT B Shinn · C Fownes 13 19.0 4-3/4
9 0 SUPER WEALTHY CP J McDonald · D A Hayes 4 11.0 5-1/2
10 0 COURIER WONDER H H Bowman · J Size 6 14.0 7
11 0 COMPUTER PATCH CP/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting 14 133.0 7-1/2
12 0 WINNING DREAMER L Ferraris · F C Lor 3 103.0 9-1/2
13 0 KURPANY B/TT L Hewitson · C Fownes 5 182.0 12
14 0 MASTER EIGHT TT K C Leung · F C Lor 12 70.0 13-1/4
— 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man — 4.5 N

本站不提供即時賠率:此處的賠率為賽後最終賠率,或賽前隔夜賠率。

2022-11-20沙田第6場,Group 2,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、P C Ng訓練的LUCKY PATCH勝出,贏出N。DUKE WAI獲得亞軍;SIGHT SUCCESS獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門WELLINGTON跑獲第6名。

賽果形勢

負距(馬位)
2. LUCKY PATCH+0.05L3. DUKE WAI+1.25L4. SIGHT SUCCESS+1.75L5. CORDYCEPS SIX+1.75L6. WELLINGTON+2.25L7. STRONGER+4L8. SKY FIELD+4.75L9. SUPER WEALTHY+5.5L10. COURIER WONDER+7L11. COMPUTER PATCH+7.5L

模型評分

回測 · wf-2022-23
排名 No. 馬名 勝出概率 評估賠率 名次
1 0 LUCKY SWEYNESSE 42.4% 2.36 —
2 0 WELLINGTON 13.4% 7.44 6
3 0 CORDYCEPS SIX 10.8% 9.25 5
4 0 SUPER WEALTHY 6.7% 14.98 9
5 0 COURIER WONDER 4.0% 25.08 10
6 0 DUKE WAI 3.4% 29.03 3
7 0 MASTER EIGHT 3.2% 30.94 14
8 0 LUCKY PATCH 3.0% 33.80 2
9 0 COMPUTER PATCH 2.7% 36.42 11
10 0 SKY FIELD 2.5% 40.42 8
11 0 WINNING DREAMER 2.5% 40.52 12
12 0 STRONGER 2.2% 46.39 7
13 0 SIGHT SUCCESS 1.9% 52.65 4
14 0 KURPANY 1.3% 74.92 13
LUCKY SWEYNESSEWELLINGTONCORDYCEPS SIXSUPER WEALTHYCOURIER WONDERDUKE WAIMASTER EIGHTLUCKY PATCHCOMPUTER PATCHSKY FIELDWINNING DREAMERSTRONGERSIGHT SUCCESSKURPANY

模型對市場

每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。

評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →

派彩

每注 $10

WIN

11 45

PLACE

4 55

11 18

12 121

QUINELLA

4,11 569.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,11 168

4,12 1,126

11,12 267.5

FORECAST

11,4 1,179

TIERCE

11,4,12 22,394

TRIO

4,11,12 4,836

FIRST 4

4,8,11,12 50,519

QUARTET

11,4,12,8 386,553

全部彩池(另 4 項)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 23.5

5TH DOUBLE

9/4 172.5

9/11 124

TRIPLE TRIO

6,7,11/6,8,9/4,11,12 4,333,297

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

6,7,11/6,8,9/Any Combination 660