沙田 · 2022-11-20 · 13:16
第 2場
2022-11-20沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M Barzalona策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MIGHTY STRIDE勝出，贏出1/2。SUPER SUNNY SING獲得亞軍；VICTORY SCHOLARS獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門SUPER SUNNY SING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MIGHTY STRIDE 1.08.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Barzalona · P F Yiu | M Barzalona | P F Yiu | 9 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING H M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | VICTORY SCHOLARS B-/V1 Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | ICE LEGEND BO/H/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPREME LUCKY TT1 J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | ONE HEART ONE CP1/TT1 B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | HOSS XB1 L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 8 | 60.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSION CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | ACT OF FAITH A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 14 | 53.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | I GIVE H1/TT1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 6 | 8.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | CHOICERUS SR1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 13 | 60.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 132.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | M M NEBULA B/TT J McNeil · K L Man | J McNeil | K L Man | 12 | 70.0 | 16-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ICE LEGEND | 28.6% | 3.50 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | BRAVE DREAMS | 19.8% | 5.05 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 11.3% | 8.84 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSION | 6.4% | 15.75 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | CHOICERUS | 5.0% | 19.99 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 4.6% | 21.75 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | ACT OF FAITH | 4.6% | 21.83 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | I GIVE | 4.3% | 23.42 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | M M NEBULA | 3.8% | 26.09 | 14 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPREME LUCKY | 3.3% | 30.04 | 5 |
| 11 | 11 | ONE HEART ONE | 3.3% | 30.49 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 2.2% | 44.63 | 1 |
| 13 | 8 | HOSS | 2.2% | 45.71 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 0.7% | 152.42 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 125
PLACE
2 15.5
4 31
10 43
QUINELLA
2,10 337
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 96.5
2,10 110.5
4,10 193.5
FORECAST
10,2 799
TIERCE
10,2,4 5,456
TRIO
2,4,10 994
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 950
QUARTET
10,2,4,1 28,000
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/2 61
8/10 716.5
3 PICK 1
A3 30
A1 —
A2 —