沙田 · 2022-11-20 · 17:58
第 10場
2022-11-20沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的GOOD BUDDY勝出，贏出3/4。MASSIVE ACTION獲得亞軍；ROCKET SPADE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOOD BUDDY 後段發力 1.21.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | ROCKET SPADE 後段發力 PC-/XB/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 14 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | HAPPY DAY 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | TAMRA BLITZ 後段發力 H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | DECRYPT 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 13 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNER METHOD TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 8 | 8.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ERIMO B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 3.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPER BABY 後段發力 CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 173.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | MASTER HERO XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | RUNNING AHEAD C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 120.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | COBHFIELD 後段發力 XB S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 12 | 62.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SEASONS BLISS B L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 48.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 3 | MASTER MONTARO CP J McNeil · D A Hayes | J McNeil | D A Hayes | 10 | 65.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ERIMO | 36.0% | 2.78 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | GOOD BUDDY | 12.9% | 7.73 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | HAPPY DAY | 6.4% | 15.66 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | COBHFIELD | 6.3% | 15.77 | 12 |
| 5 | 2 | WINNER METHOD | 5.6% | 17.96 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | DECRYPT | 5.2% | 19.09 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | MASTER HERO | 5.2% | 19.18 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | TAMRA BLITZ | 5.0% | 19.92 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | ROCKET SPADE | 4.9% | 20.57 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | MASSIVE ACTION | 3.4% | 29.12 | 2 |
| 11 | 3 | MASTER MONTARO | 3.3% | 30.28 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | SEASONS BLISS | 3.3% | 30.48 | 13 |
| 13 | 8 | RUNNING AHEAD | 1.6% | 61.18 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | SUPER BABY | 0.8% | 125.12 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 29
PLACE
4 64
9 14.5
10 49
QUINELLA
9,10 295.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 130
4,10 687
9,10 104
FORECAST
9,10 559
TIERCE
9,10,4 9,129
TRIO
4,9,10 1,742
FIRST 4
4,9,10,14 4,210
QUARTET
9,10,4,14 82,139
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/4,9,10 153,959
9TH DOUBLE
9/9 137
9/10 191.5
SIX UP
8,9/4,11/1,3/1,4/1,9/9,10 796
9/11/1/1/9/9 9,143
3 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/9/9 484
1/9/10 651