跑馬地 · 2022-11-30 · 19:46
第 2場
2022-11-30跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的HIGH RISE SOLDIER勝出，贏出N。SIGHT HERO獲得亞軍；MR FUN獲得季軍。頭馬以5.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC-/B2 1.09.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 6 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 7 | MR FUN TT1 M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PROSECCO H/SR L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 1 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW V-/B2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FARSHAD CP H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 5 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | BRILLIANT LIFE V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 6 | 44.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | COMPASSION SUPER B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 9 | 6.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | WINE AND WINE B/TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 7 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | DAZZLING FELLOW XB1/TT- C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 12 | 86.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 17.5% | 5.72 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | COMPASSION SUPER | 15.1% | 6.61 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | SIGHT HERO | 12.0% | 8.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 10.7% | 9.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW | 9.9% | 10.09 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | PROSECCO | 8.1% | 12.36 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 5.7% | 17.43 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE | 5.6% | 17.85 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | FARSHAD | 4.8% | 20.77 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 4.0% | 24.95 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | MR FUN | 3.2% | 30.77 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | WINE AND WINE | 3.2% | 31.28 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 51
PLACE
2 18
6 19.5
7 52.5
QUINELLA
2,6 152
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 50.5
2,7 115
6,7 153.5
FORECAST
2,6 232
TIERCE
2,6,7 1,657
TRIO
2,6,7 354
FIRST 4
2,6,7,8 1,020
QUARTET
2,6,7,8 14,836
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
12/2 436.5
12/6 55
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 38
A3 —